Fourth Quarter Investment Outlook

Investors seem skittish about the balance of risks in financial markets. On the one hand, we expect labor market strength, rising wages and continued easing from the Federal Reserve to support the US economy. We also anticipate decent real GDP growth this year and next. On the other hand, we see a number of looming risks, including trade conflict, earnings pressure, and a manufacturing slowdown.

We think an outright recession in the next 12 months is unlikely, but we need to see a cyclical pickup soon. In the meantime, we believe patient investors could still see some modest returns.


For more details, read our October Investment Outlook:


Loomis Sayles October 2019 Investment Outlook


This blog post is provided for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Any opinions or forecasts contained herein reflect the subjective judgments and assumptions of the authors only and do not necessarily reflect the views of Loomis, Sayles & Company, L.P. Information, including that obtained from outside sources, is believed to be correct, but Loomis Sayles cannot guarantee its accuracy. This material cannot be copied, reproduced or redistributed without authorization. This information is subject to change at any time without notice. Market conditions are extremely fluid and change frequently.




About the Authors

Loomis Sayles analysts are career professionals who offer deep knowledge and experience in a diversity of global asset classes and market sectors. These dedicated experts provide the insight essential to supporting our portfolio management teams across a wide range of investment strategies.

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