This year began with a volatile start, as many capital markets followed oil prices sharply lower. When oil found its footing in mid-February, markets breathed a sigh of relief. Many investors, though pleased at the recovery, are left with the unsettling notion that these short-term market gyrations trace their roots to long-term structural shifts in the world economy.
Central banks remain key players in global financial markets, but despite their best efforts, global growth has stayed stubbornly sluggish. Neither developed nor emerging markets offer an obvious engine for stronger global growth. The world is trying to digest China’s transition to a consumer-led economy and future implications for globalization, trade and living standards. Around the world, increasingly polarized election results and mounting political stresses are a repudiation of the uninspiring post-crisis recovery and the policymakers at the helm.
Every quarter, we update our global forecast map. Explore our key themes by region in our latest infographic: